Why is the US Open always unpredictable? (Part 2)

Another part of the cause comes from the pitch. The “Big Three” domination at Wimbledon and Roland Garros comes from the fact that very few players can meet the specific conditions of grass or clay. The pitch at Wimbledon has always been a nightmare for most young players. Their play is not adapted to the eccentricity of this pitch. After being eliminated in the first round of Wimbledon 2019, both Alexander Zverev and Tsitsipas admitted that the pitch is a difficult challenge to overcome.

Thanks to the experience, the “Big Three” has not encountered the same problems, and has learned to master these pitches over the last 15 to 20 years. Since 2002, no one other than Federer, Djokovic, Nadal or Murray won the championship. At Roland Garros, Nadal’s superiority on clay court compared to the rest made the French Open become the exclusive stage for the Spanish tennis player, and earned him the nickname “The Clay King of Clay”.

Hard courts – the surface of the US Open and the Australian Open – are completely different. Basically, hard courts are the default court surface in tennis, because all players are comfortable playing. It became popular also because there were many other sports that could be played on hard courts. Therefore, many players are likely to cause “earthquakes” in the US Open and the Australian Open. But in Melbourne Park, there are still fewer surprises, as the Australian Open is the opening tournament for the new season, so the players are more energetic.

During the last six visits to Flushing Meadows, Federer has fallen one after another at the hands of Tommy Robredo, Marin Cilic, Del Potro, John Millman and the latest Dimitrov.

Of the four Grand Slams, the US Open takes place in the most difficult climates. Melbourne was very hot in January, but the humidity was not high, and the Australian Open organizers did well in dealing with the effects of the weather.